HOT TRADE 

1-24-08 DID YOU TAKE THIS TRADE??
 
If you did, you would have been filled on Jan. 22nd at approx. 11:00 am et at or close to your stop price of 891.50. Make sure you have a protective stop working for you below the 870.6 low on Jan.18.
 
Prices rose to a morning Hi of 911.0 , showing a nice 2 day gain of approx. $1950.0 gross. You can tighten your stop to ‘lock’ in some of the profit potential, but you increase the risk of getting stopped out. If you have more than 1 contract and your anxious to capitalize on the gain, reward yourself w/ ‘found’ money.
 
Option Players:
 
The April 1000 calls you bought at $ 850.00 traded at 15.30 = $1530.00 this morning. Not a bad risk/reward level for 2 days.
1 – 19 – 08
 
SWING TRADE SET-UP
 
FEB GOLD (GC G8)
 
The recent round of profit-taking from the Jan. 15th Hi of 916.1 down to the Lo of 870.6 on Jan. 18th, with a higher close than on Jan.17th, indicates a possible resumption of the major trend higher. Another higher close would comfirm the move. In anticipation of this move, look to place a Buy stop order at 891.5x, and prepare your risk exposure plan to place a ‘protective-stop’ below the Lo of 870.6 on 1/18.
 
More conservative accounts can use an e-mini Gold or Buy an April 1000 call for $850.
 
Lower interest rates will weigh more on ‘inflation’ as the Dollar decreases in value, leading to higher prices of Dollar based assets, like precious metals, oil and grains.
 
MARCH WHEAT (W H8)
 
The close above the Jan.3rd Hi of 945.0 indicates a continuation of the trend change since the dbl – bottom low on Jan. 10th at 879.0. Look for prices to challenge the Target Hi of 1009.5, as the Dollar retraces on further rate cuts.

Place a Buy Stop at 967.5x and limit your risk exposure with either a Sell Stop within the daily limit of 30 cents or an amount to suit your own risk level. These markets have been ‘volatile’ and you can use an e-mini or option to reduce exposure.

 

11 – 19 – 07

 
Did you take this S&P ‘Swing-Trade?
 
On 10 – 29 - 07, I forecasted in ‘Hot –Trade’ a 92 point retracement in the Dec SP contract over the next 7 trading days, exiting on or before Nov.8th .
The Hi on 10-29 was 1550.7. A 92 pt. Retracement would put the Target at 1458.7 on Nov.8th.
The Low on Nov.8th was 1454.00, down 96.7 pts.
96 X $250. = $24,000.00
 
I told Option buyers to Buy the S&P or e-mini 1540 Puts for 40 pts.
They were ‘in-the-money’ by 86pts on Nov. 8th.
86 X $250. = $ 21, 500.00
 
Want to receive my FREE ‘Swing – Trade’ recommendations?
 
Give me a call at 800-462-4691
 

 10 - 29 - 07

Swing Trade Set-Up!

The Dec SP's rebounded off the 10-29 Lo of 1494.7 and rose to the 60% Fib Ret level of 1550.7, closing the day at 1547.0.

Sell the Dec SP on a Stop, below the 1542.2 low, (1542.0) and place a Protective Buy Stop above the 1550.7 Hi (1551.0).

Look for the SP to retrace 92 pts to a Target Lo of 1450.0 over the next 7 trading days, exiting the Trade on or before Nov. 8th.

Option Traders:

Buy an at the money Dec.Put 1540 @ 40pts. = $10,000.

E-mini 1540 Put = $2,000.

or

Risk less by using a Spread :

Buy the above.

Sell a Dec 1475 Put for 20 pts. = $5000.

E-mini Put = $1000.

Result:

Large SP Put Spread cost = appx. $5000.

Max. Reward - appx. 45 Pts = $11,250. + comm./fees

Mini SP Put Spread cost = appx. $1000.

Max. Reward E-mini SP Put Spread - appx. = $2250 + comm./fees

FREE SWING TRADE 'SET-UPS'

E-MAIL - NAME - ADDRESS - DAY PHONE # .

 

 

 

 

 

10- 17-07 - DEC. CRUDE

With Crude at $86.00 and a threat of conflict in N.Iraq, a premium is built in. If nothing disrupts the flow of Iraqi crude, 1.6 mb/day, we could see the premium taken off. Look to place a Bear Put Spread - Buy 1 Dec $85.00 put for 21pts ($2100.) - Sell 1 Dec $80.00 put for 7 pts ($700.).

Risk is $1400.00 + fees

Max Reward is $5000.00

3.3 / 1 Risk -Reward.

10-10-07 - DEC. SILVER

With Gold making new Hi's, $755.0 on 10/1/07 and Silver below its Hi of $15.30 on 2/26/07, I believe Silver is over-due for a 'Catch-Up' rally to at least the $15.00 level.

Place a Buy Stop above the recent Hi of $13.98, say $14.05 and look for a rally on the next sell-off in the Dollar Index.

Use Risk Management, either a 'stop' or a 'put-option' to reduce exposure. A Sell 'stop' once you are filled below the 9-day Moving Average of $13.58 is needed.

9-20-07 - TIME TO MOVE YOUR 'STOP'

 OUR PROFIT HAS INCREASED. IF YOU HAVE MORE THAN ONE POSITION, LEG OUT OF AT LEAST ONE POSITION AND REWARD YOURSELF. FUNDS ARE BUYING AND $750.00 IS A VERY ATTRACTIVE 'TARGET'. TIGHTEN 'STOPS' TO $730.00 TO ASSURE YOURSELF OF $5500./ CONTRACT PROFIT. WE WILL LOOK TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF  'PULL-BACKS'.

9-12-07 DID YOU TAKE THIS RADE?

 On August 23, 2007 we sent  out a recommendation to Buy December Gold . Even if you Bought it at the High of the day, $674.50, at the close of business on Tuesday, September 11, 2007, the price was $721.10, up $46.60 = a gain of $ 4660.00 / contract.

I suggest tightening your ‘stop’ to $711.00, ahead of the FOMC meeting next Tuesday. You can also Buy an at the money Put for $2700.00 as an alternative to a ‘stop’ loss order.

Those who purchased a $700/$750 Bull Call Spread are ‘intrinsic’ and can hold to expiration or ‘close’ the spread for a hefty ‘profit’.

 Looking for Trade Recommendations? Give us a call at 800-462-4691.

 

 IT'S HOT HERE IN FLORIDA!!!!!!!!!!!! BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR NEW TRADE IDEAS....

IN 1898, AS AN ENGINEERING STUDENT AT M.I.T., ROGER BABSON, DISCOVERED THAT SIR ISAAC NEWTON'S THIRD LAW OF MOTION - "FOR EVERY ACTION THERE IS AN EQUAL AND OPPOSITE REACTION" APPLIED TO THE FINANCIAL MARKETS AS WELL.

ALONG WITH FELLOW M.I.T. GRADUATE, DR. ALAN ANDREWS (ANDREWS PITCHFORK) THEY DEVELOPED THE ACTION / REACTION-MEDIAN LINE THEORY, THAT NOT ONLY HELPED MAKE OVER $50 MILLION, BUT FORECASTED THE 'CRASH OF 1929'  

ONCE I SHOW YOU HOW TO RECOGNIZE THESE 'RECURRING' PATTERNS, YOU CAN USE THE 'MARKETS' INFORMATION TO PREDICT WHERE THE PRICE OF ANY COMMODITY OR STOCK IS HEADED AND THE PROBABLE TIME IT WILL TAKE TO REACH IT.

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THE CHART 'SET-UPS' WILL PROVIDE NEW TRADE IDEAS AND ALERTS FOR YOU TO FOLLOW. ALONG WITH DAILY AND WEEKLY UPDATES.

        JUST CALL @ 800-929-9985 OR REQUEST BKOZAK@ALARON.COM TO RECEIVE YOUR FREE "SET UPS" 

 

Required Disclaimer:

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below.No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similiar to those shown throughout this website.In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance trading results and the actual results subsequently acheived by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance trading results is that they are generlly prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading.For example, the ability to withstand losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous  other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

REQUIRED FUTURES TRADING DISCLAIMER:

If you purchase or sell a commodity future or sell a commodity option, you may sustain a total loss of the initial margin funds and any additional funds that you deposit with your broker to establish or maintain your position. If the market moves against your position, you may be called upon by your broker to deposit a substantial amount of additional margin funds, on short notice, in order to maintain your position. If you do not provide the requested funds within the prescribed time, your position may be liquidated at a loss, and you will be liable for any resulting deficit in your account.